Financial Market Data

U.S. Dollar Forecast To Appreciate Versus Euro Ahead Of NFPs Data

Financial Market Data The U.S. dollar was far and away the best-performing G10 currency on sharp losses in the U.S. S&P 500 and broad deterioration in financial market risk sentiment. A positive surprise in highly-anticipated U.S. Q4 GDP results likewise helped boost the low-yielding Greenback, and the currency now boasts three consecutive weeks of fairly substantial appreciation against the Euro. Given previous bearish extremes in U.S. dollar sentiment and positioning, we have frequently argued that the otherwise-downtrodden currency could stage a major comeback through the new year. Already we see that both the Euro/U.S. dollar and S&P 500 have posted significant declines on the month, and the January Effect in stocks and currencies points to further Greenback appreciation into February and beyond.

The first week of February likewise promises a great deal of economic event risk, and forex options markets have priced in considerable price moves in the days ahead. The critical question is whether the U.S. dollar will react positively to better-than-expected data or instead respond to cues in the S&P 500 and other measures of financial market risk sentiment. Traders will get their first clue on the results of Monday morning's U.S. Personal Income and Spending as well as ISM Manufacturing survey results in rapid succession. Consensus forecasts call for modest pullbacks in Income and Spending growth in December, while domestic Manufacturers are likely to report slower gains in activity for January. Substantive surprises in either release could easily force U.S. Dollar moves, but the true fireworks may wait until later-week ADP Employment Change, ISM Services, and U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls releases.

U.S. Dollar traders will pay extremely close attention to surprises in NFPs results, while earlier ADP and ISM numbers will likely shape consensus estimates for the monthly employment figure change. Economists currently predict that the U.S. labor market added a net 13, 000 jobs through the month of January, but the monthly figures are notoriously difficult to predict, very volatile, and prone to major revisions. Suffice it to say, most analysts often question the flawed report's relevance to the U.S. dollar and other major asset classes. Yet traders respond to the data at hand, and any significant surprises in earlier ADP Employment and ISM Services Employment Index figures could easily set the stage for similar surprises in clearly market-moving Nonfarm Payrolls numbers.

Current market conditions make it extremely difficult to predict price action a day ahead and much less a week in advance. Yet recent momentum clearly favors U.S. dollar appreciation, and our research on the "January Effect" for currencies and the S&P strongly suggest that the dollar could finish the year considerably stronger against the Euro and other major counterparts. What happens between now and December, however, is anything but clear. Shorter-term traders should keep a close eye on the S&P and other risk barometers surrounding major news events out of the U.S. and other large economies. We remain bullish the U.S. dollar on the Euro's break below 1.40, but sharp Greenback gains warn that a very-short-term correction is possible. - DR

By David Rodriguez - Currency Analyst for www.DailyFX.com

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when using statistics on financial markets data, what exactly is the "Population"....please read more...?
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Please provide a statement (250 words minimum) that addresses your reasons for transferring and the objectives you hope to achieve.(Common application). My first two years of college in OU I was a rather frivolous person. My life was based around parties and alcohol consuming activities like most college students. Through out that time I grew personally. Subconsciously I was developing as a person into a more responsible guy. The summer after my sophomore year I had a wake up call and I started thinking about my future. By my Junior year in OU I planned for my future career goals and realized what I wanted to do. It was like I woke up and had a reality check. In the 2 years I matured as a person. My goals became clearer. Starting my junior year and moving into the business cluster this fall 2011 really showed me what I am capable of when I work hard and stay focused. The business cluster is an integrated business program consisting of five major business courses in one quarter. It involves team work, time management (as there are quizzes almost everyday) and presentations every week. I have become a motivated person. The general requirements, the party reputation of the school and my carefree lifestyle affected my cumulative GPA in a downward manner in my freshman years. My current cumulative GPA is low but cumulative GPA is not everything. I did great in most of my core business classes and I excelled in the business cluster so my Major GPA is very strong which shows how knowledgeable I am in my area of study. My grades are moving in an upward direction, I have become a highly motivated person and my improving GPA is a manifestation of that. I am involved in business groups like OU AITP and will apply to join OU's fixed income group and student equity management group next quarter. In the Fixed Income Group and OUSEMG I will research macroeconomic, financial market data and analyze companies to manage and create portfolios. I am interested in the the field of business and am very impressed with Syracuse's Ballentine investment institute and it's corporate partnerships. On top of that I also very interested in information technology and systems and it's applications to businesses for which I have a second major in MIS. I have heard Syracuse's industry collaboration with J.P Morgan Chase in an effort to improve financial services technology and it's success so far. I would really like to help in that collaboration. I am very interested in the Whitman Program in Syracuse University. I am especially interested in the Ballentine investment institute as it corresponds with my career goals to be an Investment manager. I would love to work as an asset manager and raise shareholder wealth. I love to do extensive research and in depth analysis of industries, small businesses, large companies and financial markets. I have heard about Whitman undergrads trips to NYSE and Berkshire Hathaway. My reasons to transfer to Syracuse University are purely professional. I have a great social life here, plenty of friends and I find that I am able to make friends easily and I am a popular guy wherever I go in the world. So that is certainly not the issue. I want to go to a school which will help me accomplish my career goals and work in a mutually beneficial and intellectual environment. Coming from a foreign country I originally applied to Ohio University in the Midwest as I was misinformed about American Education and work system. I was attracted by Ohio University's college of business, the naturally beautiful landscape of the campus and the scholarship they offered me. I know a transfer to Syracuse in the northeast will move me closer to my career goals as an investment or IT manager in NY which is considered the financial capital of the world. After 2 years in OU I have grown personally. I am seeing my goals clearer and from a more matured perspective. I know what I want to do and what it will take to get there and I am willing to do it.

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